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Steve Hinkle predicts the musical future
Posted by Jazzleflaw in on June 10, 2003 at 9:12 AM



Even if the labels went away, people would still make music, but just for fun. However, there might be less artists on tour, and people would have to raise the money for it.

I think that people would give respect and become interested in amateur artists. I heard in Persia and other countries, people do exactly that. Even in this country, people still attend middle school, high school and college concerts, local band gigs, and other amateur artists that perform locally.

I predict that CDs would still be made, and sold, but in much smaller batches. I also bet that distribution, radio, and the music you find in stores will be different from city to city, and much more localized.

One of the ways bands will reach new audenices in the future, I predict will be the internet through web sites, P2P networks, internet radio, and the like. Another will be word of mouth.

I predict that getting to "superstar" status with world reconition will be quite hard in the future. Labels and DIYs simply cannot afford the "one chance to make it big" risk anymore. Becoming a superstar will take a big buildup over time, and will be a very rocky, bumpy road the entire way, and a very slow process.

But there is some good news. The cost of recording an album has reduced significantly. Programs like Protools can be used to record albums in ones home or other establishment. You basically need an audio mixer, some mics, some cabling, and a computer with a good sound card. Even some powerful audio recording software (such as Ardour) have been open sourced, and available for free.

I think that the music biz is going through major changes, but will survive in some form, probably without as much control as it once had.


User Comments

Classicalmracky
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 11:57 AM
"One of the ways bands will reach new audenices in the future,I predict will be the internet through web sites, P2P networks, internet radio, and the like. Another will be word of mouth."

Duh.

I predict that people who predict things that have already happened will not be taken very seriously in the future.
Advancedthumbtack
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 1:03 PM
Only now are a lot of bands starting to realize the potential of the internet. Some have for sometime, but many others are just getting started..
DMembertheerm
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 4:58 PM
I think the reverse is true. There will be more super stars out there than before.

Erm
http://noriaa.the-erm.com
Otherindependentm...
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 5:04 PM
I predict the RIAA/MPAA and the media oligopoly will continue to line the pockets of our reps in Washington to pass even more restrictive and rights suppressive legislation. They (big business, spearheaded by Micro$oft) will change the architecture of the internet and ruin it for us all. No longer will it be an open media. They feel they must control the internet in the same way they dominate TV, Radio, Cable, Phone, etc. A FREE media is antagonistic to big business domination. This is America damnit! The land of the FEE! By the Corp, of the Corp, and for the Corp. We must somehow wake the masses or watch our freedoms all go down the tubes! I want to have same optimism, I really do. But I am afraid not enough people in our society care enough about these issues, at least not untill it is too late.

Don't forget, June 19th is just a few days from now. If something is NOT done about the recent FCC rulings then...
DMemberctenet
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 6:26 PM
I think that music won't be localized because of P2P networks, but of course the RIAA will die!

independentmusician: "We must somehow wake the masses or watch our freedoms all go down the tubes! I want to have same optimism, I really do. But I am afraid not enough people in our society care enough about these issues, at least not untill it is too late."
Good point. Any ides on how to do this? The biggest problem (that I have noticed) is that the average person's source for information (the "media") is largely controlled by our enemies.
Otherindependentm...
Date: June 10, 2003 @ 11:56 PM
No shit ctenet
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