I agree congress would have to be almost
unimaginably stupid to pass this. But never
underestimate the combined power of the
television, movie and music industrys.
Remember these groups have experience
lobbying. They have entire departments
devoted to manipulateing polititions. And
they have lots of money. Its unlikely, but
it could pass. If it somehow does it still
wont last long. I can predict exactly what
would happen:
The many large copyright holders would
either set up hacking departments to hire
another company to do it for them...
These hacking departments would consist of a
number of p2p clients mapping networks and a
few poorly-trained hackers directing a huge
DoS machine at importent targets - large
sharers and important points in the
network...
Unfortunatly them them some of those large
sharers will be on company systems to use
the office broadband, and the rest will be
using ISPs. Neither of those groups will be
too pleased...
The lawyers will start their work, as
various ISPs and lan-useing companys sue for
damages...
The whole situation will get out of control
until there is no option except to remove
the offending bill
And the effect on p2p networks? Absolutly
disasterous, will completly ruin them. But
as fast as they shut them done replacements
will be started. Worst that can happen is a
return to IRC and FTP warez systems.